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Richard Cochrane is trained in chemistry and metallurgy but is far more interested and practiced as a political and fund raising consultant, writer and amateur historian. He grew up in a Navy family and with his two younger brothers carried on its 500+ year tradition of naval service to Great Britain and the USA then enjoyed a career with one of the largest advertising and public relations agencies working with numerous Fortune 500 companies and many of America's premier educational institutions. He maintains friendships and acquaintanceships around the world. He lives in Santa Barbara, California.

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North Korean Rocket Launch “Successful Failure.”

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north-korea-rocketNorth Korea has failed in its third attempt since 1998 to build an accurate long-range missile, analysts say, undercutting its image as a defiant state able to project its power across the ocean.

The communist North’s claim it had launched a satellite Sunday that was now circling the globe, transmitting data and patriotic songs praising secretive leader Kim Jong-Il is false.

“It seems to indicate that North Korea has not been able to demonstrate a reliable system capable of being an ICBM or a space launch vehicle.”

Washington, Seoul and Tokyo said the launch was a smoke-screen for testing a Taepodong-2 intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), which at maximum range could theoretically hit the US states of Alaska and Hawaii.

Bermudez said current information indicated the second stage did not separate, meaning the rocket was too heavy to sustain flight.

Regardless of the technological failure the launch was a propaganda coup.

After the 2006 missile test North Korea tested an atomic bomb, which led the UN Security Council to pass a resolution barring the communist state from further missile-related activities. In classic fashion, at this writing the U. N. is still wrapped around the axle unable even to decide what to do.

During long-running six-nation nuclear disarmament talks, North Korea has repeatedly said it needs a deterrent against any attack by the United States, which it accuses of wanting to bring down the regime.

While the North is not believed to have configured a warhead for the Taepodong-2, a successful launch Sunday would have added to international concerns about the North’s capabilities.

South Korea’s National Intelligence Service described it as a successful rocket test but a failed satellite launch, according to lawmakers who attended a closed-door briefing of parliament’s intelligence committee.

Chae Yeon-Seok of the Korea Aerospace Research Institute said that while the rocket apparently failed, it flew much farther than in 1998.

He called it “a big step forward in the North’s rocket technology.”

But the ICG’s Pinkston said the stated aim of the exercise — putting a satellite into orbit — is technically easier than delivering a warhead, which must re-enter the atmosphere and detonate.

Nuclear expert Joseph Cirincione, president of the non-profit Ploughshares Fund, told CNN that he believed it would take years for Pyongyang to develop a serious missile threat to the United States.

“North Korea’s missile and nuclear capabilities do not add up to a nuclear intercontinental ballistic missile,” he wrote.  

“This (failure) creates an opportunity to convince them there are other ways to ensure their security,” Pinkston said.

David Wright, of the Union of Concerned Scientists, told the New York Times that the incident might “open a window of opportunity” with Pyongyang — which Pinkston said would be engaged in “soul searching” after the failure.

“But they can spin the story in all sorts of ways… they will have some footage of the rocket going up,” Pinkston said.

“It’s quite easy for them to depict it as a success to the vast majority of people.”

North Korea is known to have transferred and sold missile technology to Iran, and Iran is believed to have advanced past North Korea in its missile program.

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